6 Threat 4: Unchecked Weaponization 6 Threat 4: Unchecked Weaponization

6.1 Intro to Section Lecture: Professor Rebecca Crootof 6.1 Intro to Section Lecture: Professor Rebecca Crootof

Professor Rebecca Crootof discusses the weaponization of AI. Watch here (~40 minutes).

6.2 AI and National Security 6.2 AI and National Security

6.2.1 Guiding Questions 6.2.1 Guiding Questions

 

  • Do national security officials have a duty (ethically, legally, or otherwise) to encourage the development of AI?
  • Why does the national security context heighten the risks presented by AI development? 
  • How does national security shift the balance of power among the three branches of government?

6.2.2 Readings (Recommended and Assigned) 6.2.2 Readings (Recommended and Assigned)

Required Readings 

  • Kelley M Sayler, Artificial Intelligence and National Security, Congressional Research Service R45178 (updated 2020), available at https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R45178/10
    • Pages 16-28 are good for legislative/congressional history.  
    • Page 35 discusses the amount of money that different countries have pledged for AI research/commercialization. (May be useful in answering guiding question #1.)
  • (Executive Summary) Eric Schmidt, et al., Final Report, National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence (2021), available at https://www.nscai.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Full-Report-Digital-1.pdf
    • Pages 8-13 (discussing how the U.S. should act and invest in the development of AI, and how it should be used to help defend the country).
  • Greg Allen & Taniel Chan, Artificial Intelligence and National Security, Belfer Center (2017), available at https://www.belfercenter.org/sites/default/files/files/publication/AI%20NatSec%20-%20final.pdf
    • Pages 21-26 discuss 10 scenarios in which AI can change military power.
  • Andrew Kent & Julian Davis Mortenson, Executive Power and National Security Power, in THE CAMBRIDGE COMPANION TO THE UNITED STATES CONSTITUTION 261–291 (Karen Orren & John W. Compton eds., 2018), available at https://ssrn.com/abstract=2824416
    • Background history on wars; I didn't find this very helpful in an AI sense.
  • Wyatt Hoffman & Heeu Millie Kim, Reducing the Risks of Artificial Intelligence for Military Decision Advantage, Center for Security and Emerging Technology (2023), available at https://cset.georgetown.edu/publication/reducing-the-risks-of-artificial-intelligence-for-military-decision-advantage/
    • Discusses ML; how to utilize it

Recommended Readings

  • Sam Clarke & Jess Whittlestone, A Survey of the Potential Long-term Impacts of AI: How AI Could Lead to Long-term Changes in Science, Cooperation, Power, Epistemics and Values, ACM (2022), available at https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3514094.3534131

 

  • Matthijs Maas, How Viable is International Arms Control for Military Artificial Intelligence? Three Lessons From Nuclear Weaponsin 40 CONT. SEC. POLICY 285 (2019), available at https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13523260.2019.1576464?journalCode=fcsp20

 

  • Ben Garfinkel & Allan Dafoe, How Does the Offense-Defense Balance Scale?, in 42 J. STRAT. STUDIES 736 (2019), available at https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01402390.2019.1631810

 

  • Jason Matheny, Challenges to U.S. National Security and Competitiveness Posed by AI, Rand Corporation (2023), available at https://www.rand.org/pubs/testimonies/CTA2654-1.html

6.2.3 Exercise 6.2.3 Exercise

  • TBD

6.3 Autonomous Weapons 6.3 Autonomous Weapons

6.3.1 Guiding Questions 6.3.1 Guiding Questions

 

  • How has increased automation of weapons already changed warfare?
  • How can changes in domestic and international law affect the integration of AI into weapons?

6.3.2 Readings (Recommended and Assigned) 6.3.2 Readings (Recommended and Assigned)

Required Readings

  • Kris Osborn, Project Rainmaker: The Future of AI-Enabled Warfare is Here, The National Interest, THE NATIONAL INTEREST (Aug. 12, 2022), https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/project-rainmaker-future-ai-enabled-warfare-here-204122.

 

  • [Read Sections 2 and 4] Rebecca Crootof, The Killer Robots Are Here: Legal and Policy Implications, 36 CARDOZO L. REV. (2015), available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2534567.

Recommended Reading

  • Christian Ruhl, AUTONOMOUS WEAPON SYSTEMS AND MILITARY ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE APPLICATIONS, FOUNDERS PLEDGE (May 19, 2022), available at https://founderspledge.com/stories/autonomous-weapon-systems-and-military-artificial-intelligence-ai

 

  • [Read 541-561, 608-621] Sean Watts, Regulation-Tolerant Weapons, Regulation-Resistant Weapons and Law of War, 91 Int'l L. Stud. 540 (2015), available at https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1411&context=ils. 

6.3.3 Exercise 6.3.3 Exercise

 

  • TBD

6.4 AI and Other Weapons 6.4 AI and Other Weapons

6.4.1 Guiding Questions 6.4.1 Guiding Questions

 

  • How and to what extent does AI alter the risks posed by nuclear weapons?
  • What aspects of AI development are most relevant to the risk of nuclear war?
  • Should policymakers fear this AI-influenced existential risk over others? Why or why not?

6.4.2 Readings (Recommended and Assigned) 6.4.2 Readings (Recommended and Assigned)

Required Reading

  • Edward Geist & Andrew L. John, How Might Artificial Intelligence Affect the Risk of Nuclear War?,  RAND CORPORATION (2018), available at https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE296.html (last visited Oct. 30, 2023).

 

  • Richard Danzig, Technology Roulette: Managing Loss of Control as Many Militaries Pursue Technological Superiority, CNAS (May 30, 2018), https://s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com/files.cnas.org/documents/CNASReport-Technology-Roulette-Final.pdf.

Recommended Reading

  • Matthijs Maas et al., Military Artificial Intelligence as Contributor to Global Catastrophic Risk, in  ERA OF GLOBAL RISK (SJ Beard, Martin Rees, Catherine Richards & Clarissa Rios-Rojas eds., Open Book Publishers 2023), available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4115010

6.4.3 Exercise 6.4.3 Exercise

 

  • TBD